GOP Worried Trump Has No Path To Re-Election After Driving Away Swing Voters

Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour / Public Domain

Sarah Shaiman

Recent polls suggest that the president could lose key battleground states this November.

Since the 2016 election, Donald Trump has established himself as a hardline conservative and has shown scant interest in appealing to independents. However, this might lose him votes among swing voters, according to a New York Times report.

  • President Trump is currently 18 points behind presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden with independent voters, a national poll of registered voters by The Times and Siena College found. The poll also has Trump winning just 36 percent of the popular vote.
  • It seems as though the president has no interest in expanding his support to swing voters, a crucial component of winning key diverse battleground states.

The Times reported,

The coronavirus pandemic and the nationwide social unrest have all contributed to Mr. Trump’s diminished standing, including among swing voters — only 17 percent of independents strongly approve of Mr. Trump’s job performance, the poll shows.

  • The Times poll found that undecided voters "do not trust Mr. Trump to provide accurate information about the pandemic, and think he uses the presidential podium to promote falsehoods."
  • Sara Fagen, the White House political director for George W. Bush, told the Times that expanding the number of people actually voting for the candidate is crucial to winning.
  • However, Trump has noted he has defied the polls before, pointing to his narrow 2016 win against former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton.
  • Nine percent of voters fall into the undecided or persuadable category, and many of them have a negative perception of Trump.
  • William Mayer, a professor of political science at Northwestern said, “I know Republicans who think that Trump is somehow incredibly savvy politically and knows just what he’s doing. I strongly disagree. I think he’s needlessly alienating a whole lot of people who might otherwise be inclined to vote for him.”

“He is losing, and if he doesn’t change course, both in terms of the substance of what he is discussing and the way that he approaches the American people, then he will lose,” Chris Christie, the former Republican governor of New Jersey and a former close adviser to Mr. Trump, said on Sunday on ABC’s “This Week.”

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