Cook Political Report Shifts SC Senate Race Toward Lindsey Graham's Opponent

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Sen. Lindsey Graham's race was shifted from 'likely' Republican to 'lean' Republican.

According to The Hill, the Cook Political Report shifted its outlook for South Carolina’s Senate race on Monday to favor Sen. Lindsey Graham’s Democratic opponent, making his reelection bid more competitive.

  • “The nonpartisan election handicapper moved the race from its ‘likely’ Republican column into the ‘lean’ Republican column,” the news outlet reported, which “means that Graham still has the advantage, but his seat has come into play for Democrats.”
  • Contributing to the shift, Democrat Jaime Harrison “has nearly matched Graham dollar for dollar in fundraising this cycle, raking in $29 million to the GOP incumbent’s $30.9 million.”
  • “At the same time, the national political climate has shifted in a way that appears favorable to Harrison, a former South Carolina Democratic Party chairman and the first African American to serve in that role,” The Hill wrote.

“Racial injustice protests that swept the nation in early June also give Harrison, who is Black, further motivation for turning out African-American voters in the state,” Jessica Taylor, the Senate and governor’s editor for The Cook Political Report, wrote in an analysis of the South Carolina race.

“Were Harrison to upset Graham, South Carolina — the first state to secede from the Union in 1860 — would become the first state in history to have two Black senators serving at the same time, joining Republican Sen. Tim Scott.”

The Hill noted that “Graham will still be tough for Democrats to ouster,” as he “won his last reelection bid in 2014 by nearly 16 points, and President Trump carried the state in 2016 by more than 14 points.”

Read the full report.


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