Analyst: Trump Can Win In 2020 With Only 47% Of The Popular Vote In His Favor

Charlotte Cuthbertson, The Epoch Times/CC BY 2.0/Flickr

Opposition to Donald Trump is concentrated in large blue states, so he could win again without winning the popular vote.

Election analyst Henry Olsen claimed on Friday that President Trump would not need 50 percent of the popular vote to win reelection in 2020, according to the Hill.

Despite Hillary Clinton winning the popular vote in 2016, Olsen claimed that Trump could win the presidency even at 47 percent.

This projection was largely due to the idea that opposition for Donald Trump is concentrated in large states like New York and California. Meanwhile, swing states like Michigan and Pennsylvania show higher approval ratings for Trump which may say the distribution of electoral votes.

"If he's at 47 percent in the RealClearPolitics average, he's going to win reelection because he'll be at over 50 in the Electoral College. He might lose the popular vote by a point or two, but he'll win the Electoral College," he said. 

According to a new Hill-HarrisX survey, 47 percent of registered voters approve of the job Trump is doing.