(FILE - In this June 22, 2017, file photo, beachgoers enter the water even though double-red flags are flying, warning of dangerous conditions and extremely rough surf in the remnants of Tropical Storm Cindy, in Seaside, Fla. An extensive first-of-its-kind study says global warming is likely to hit southern and poorer U.S. counties hard. The study released June 29, used more than 29,000 computer simulations to estimate different global warming scenarios that effect energy costs, agricultural production, deaths and other factors. (AP Photo/Kiichiro Sato, File) Kiichiro Sato)
The study, published Thursday in the journal Science, calculates probable economic harms and benefits for the more than 3,100 counties in the United States under different possible scenarios for worldwide emissions of heat-trapping gases. It looks at agriculture, energy costs, labor costs, coastal damage from rising seas, crime and deaths, then estimates the effect on average local income by the end of the century.
Researchers computed the possible effects of 15 types of impacts for each county across 29,000 simulations.
“The south gets hammered and the north can actually benefit,” said study lead author Solomon Hsiang, a University of California economist. “The south gets hammered primarily because it’s super-hot already. It just so happens that the south is also poorer.”